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Seeing Over the Horizon
Seeing over the horizon
  • Global Trends and 2045
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  • Global Trends and 2045
  • Developing Strategy
    • Devising Strategy
    • Business Models
    • Advisory
  • About
    • Background
    • Contact
    • Activities
  • And Also
    • Trends
    • Artificial Intelligence resources
    • Interesting reading
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Seeing over the horizon

Global Trends and their implications for 2045

For the last twenty years, or so, I’ve followed the Global Trends series that has been published every four years by the National Intelligence Council of the USA to coincide with each in-coming administration, and intended to serve as an unclassified strategic assessment of the key trends that might shape the world over the next…

Advisory

I bring insight and external perspective to entrepreneurs and key stakeholders to support the decisions taken by Board and Management. This may be as a member of the Board, a facilitator or advisor, and can be executive or  non-executive, based on specific deliverables or more widely based. Rapid analysis All businesses encounter pressures to change,…

Covid-19, Investors, Management, Strategy, Trend Spotting

The Five Forces of Endemic Covid-19

It’s becoming clear what the future will be like. We know what we know, we know what we don’t know, and the main features are now coming into focus.  It’s going to be a balancing act. The first thing that we know that is highly unlikely to change soon, is that Covid-19 is endemic, globally….

Covid-19

Covid-19 Insights: Europe and other places are heating up

There’s a growing list of sizeable countries with significant fatality rates and infection growth. Many of them are in Europe, particularly Eastern Europe.  South America also has a growing problem and the Middle East is starting to figure strongly, too. The UK is low on the list, while more and more countries in Continental Europe…

Entrepreneurs, Investors, Management

Why astute Tech Start-ups have the edge on success

Language does lose its way from time to time.  We all knew that Uber wasn’t a start-up; well, it was a start-up but it isn’t one now, even if the tag has stuck.  Sifted, the well respected group of journalists backed by the Financial Times to report on start-ups, lists a load of firms they…

Covid-19, Management, Strategy

Covid-19: The Northern Hemisphere looks like a problem

In the last week of February, daily fatalities in the Northern Hemisphere broke the downward trend that it had been following with the rest of the globe, and punched upwards, and this upward move has become stronger in recent days. Daily fatalities per million of population in northern countries is now higher than at any…

Covid-19, Executing, Investors, Management, Organisation

Managing occupational health issues in the new normal

Few businesses would doubt that the pandemic has had a challenging impact on the way businesses and sectors have needed to revise how work is undertaken, not only in the UK but across the world. Probably one of the most far reaching changes in this regard is the increasing use of technology platforms in the…

Entrepreneurs, Executing, Management, Strategy

Why Cloud now matters for the CFO

Back in the day, Cloud was just a technology for technologists. It had some business benefits, maybe, but they came anyway, regardless of the Cloud solution. The design choice was a technical one. This picture is changing as the use of Cloud has extended through deeper and wider penetration across the organisation, and as the…

Covid-19, Strategy, Trend Spotting

Covid-19 insights: Hard hats must be worn in this area

I wrote recently about the Angry Mob of Covid Issues coming towards us in 2021, and the first straws in the wind are here. Life for decision makers is starting to get complex, as expected. Vaccines are delivering good news and much of the data emerging as a result of extensive deployments around the world…

Entrepreneurs, Investors, Strategy, Trend Spotting

The pressures driving the direction of Cloud

Time was when Cloud was simple: you did or you didn’t. If you did, there was a couple of big brands to choose between, and away it went. Not any more, at least not for anyone with a complex requirement, and there’s the rub: fewer and fewer firms have simple Cloud infrastructure requirements these days….

Covid-19, Investors, Management, Organisation, Trend Spotting

Covid-19 insights: 21 February, 2021

The Global Picture Three charts give a clear picture of the global situation and the challenge ahead. Fatalities across the globe reached a peak in late January and have been in decline over the four weeks since then. However, at the same time, the number of countries recording significant daily fatalities has risen and particularly…

Covid-19

Covid 19 Insights: 13 February 2021

The Global Picture Daily fatalities have been on a rising trajectory, more than doubling since mid-October. The dip around the turn of the year was almost certainly only a lull in reporting. There has been a retreat over the last two weeks, but this has reversed in recent days. Time will tell whether this is…

Entrepreneurs, Management, Organisation, Strategy

Why your independence matters in the Cloud

Change in the business world today is widespread and hard to predict. For business decision makers, freedom of choice and action are essential, now like never before. Hidden constraints and barriers conspire against the agility and responsiveness that allow successful navigation through the challenges and on towards achieving objectives and ambitions. Most firms now rely…

Covid-19

Covid-19 – It’s now an Arms Race

Readers of my postings on the pandemic will know that I have been writing about multiple and multiplying mutations for some time. I attach below the summary that I wrote almost a month ago. Mutations are the real challenge ahead. It’s now an arms race.  New and more dangerous changes are made by chance among…

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