Seeing Over the Horizon
Seeing over the horizon
  • Global Trends and 2045
  • Developing Strategy
    • Devising Strategy
    • Business Models
    • Advisory
  • About
    • Background
    • Contact
    • Activities
  • And Also
    • Trends
    • Artificial Intelligence resources
    • Interesting reading
    • Organisations Cited
  • Global Trends and 2045
  • Developing Strategy
    • Devising Strategy
    • Business Models
    • Advisory
  • About
    • Background
    • Contact
    • Activities
  • And Also
    • Trends
    • Artificial Intelligence resources
    • Interesting reading
    • Organisations Cited

Seeing over the horizon

Global Trends and their implications for 2045

For the last twenty years, or so, I’ve followed the Global Trends series that has been published every four years by the National Intelligence Council of the USA to coincide with each in-coming administration, and intended to serve as an unclassified strategic assessment of the key trends that might shape the world over the next…

Advisory

I bring insight and external perspective to entrepreneurs and key stakeholders to support the decisions taken by Board and Management. This may be as a member of the Board, a facilitator or advisor, and can be executive or  non-executive, based on specific deliverables or more widely based. Rapid analysis All businesses encounter pressures to change,…

AI, Executing, Investors, Strategy

The Coming Storms for Technology Users

In today’s interconnected world, the escalating trade tensions between major global powers are creating ripples far beyond the immediate tariff impacts. While much attention has focused on disruptions to technology hardware manufacturing, the long-term implications for everyday technology users are only just beginning to surface. These emerging challenges are the gathering storm clouds on the…

AI, Entrepreneurs, Investors, Strategy

Who Owns and Controls What Technology?

The Art of Building Your Business on Third-Party Technologies In today’s fast-paced business environment, leveraging third-party technologies through APIs and interfaces has become a popular strategy for rapid market entry. This approach is particularly evident in the current AI application boom, allowing businesses to innovate quickly with minimal capital and technical expertise. However, this convenience…

AI, Executing, Management, Strategy

Why Drive Straight into a Traffic Jam?

It’s a traffic-Jam in the making, and hiding in plain sight. The Cloud computing landscape is undergoing a seismic shift, one that can upend the carefully laid plans of UK SMEs who have come to rely on its seemingly limitless capacity, flexibility and predictability. The foundations of Cloud infrastructure are being stress-tested in ways few…

AI, Organisation

Can AI Do a Shakespeare or Only Lucky Hallucinations?

The question of whether machines can replicate the creative genius of a William Shakespeare is intriguing and contentious. How do the nuances of creative genius stack up against lucky hallucination? Can systems ever be trained to achieve genius? Creative Genius vs. Lucky Hallucination Creative genius is often attributed to individuals who produce works of exceptional…

Investors, Management, Organisation, Trend Spotting

Will CxOs have to navigate a re-run of 1848?

The year 1848 saw a wave of revolutions sweep across Europe, toppling monarchies and reshaping the continent’s political landscape. Nearly two centuries later, some observers are drawing unsettling parallels between the tumultuous events of that era and the growing unrest of our own time. As social, economic and technological forces converge in potentially explosive ways,…

Organisation

Are these unprecedented times for CxOs?

In recent years, it has become increasingly common to hear people remark that we are living through unusually turbulent times. From the COVID-19 pandemic to climate change, political polarization, technological disruption, and geopolitical tensions, it can feel as though we are facing an unprecedented convergence of crises and rapid changes. But how unusual is our…

AI, Investors, Strategy, Trend Spotting

Does AI have a Best Before date?

Irony or prescience? On July 24, 2024, as tech stocks plummeted in a sudden AI-related market rout, researchers from the University of Cambridge and the University of Edinburgh published a groundbreaking study in Nature. The paper, titled “AI models collapse when trained on recursively generated data,” revealed a critical flaw in the development of artificial…

Entrepreneurs, Management, Organisation, Strategy

Trust and survival are intertwined for tech firms

Trust has been a big issue for all of time, or at least the 300,000 years humans have been around. Trust sensitivity has been baked into our DNA by selection, simply because the people most likely to survive and reproduce were those who were skeptical and mistrusting of anything that they didn’t already know. Change…

Organisation

Cloud Challenges for the C-Suite in 2024

Most organisations now live in the digital world and many connect, store and process data and information, and run their operations in Cloud and other IT infrastructure. Usage is accelerating and causing important business issues and challenges. 2024 is shaping up to be a year of opportunity and challenge for firms using Cloud and connected…

Executing, Investors, Management, Strategy, Trend Spotting

Latest News Reveals Business Risks in Cloud

The latest estimates show that the world market for Cloud infrastructure has grown by almost 20% in the last year, to $66.5bn in Q1 2023, and that’s 60% higher than two years ago. AWS is very much the leader with its Cloud revenues estimated at well over $25bn. All the leading hyperscalers have grown significantly…

Entrepreneurs, Executing, Management, Organisation, Strategy

Why Cloud gives tech firms a skills shortage

It’s almost twenty years since AWS publicly launched its first infrastructure service. Those early days of Cloud were chock full of promise: no more hardware ownership to worry about; scale infrastructure up and scale down, paying only for what you use. In many ways that headline promise has been realised. Much of the last two…

Executing, Investors, Management, Organisation, Strategy

Three ways Cloud may be holding back your Business Plan

Cloud has become embedded in many firms as the weapon of choice for accessing computing power and storage without needing to own hardware. However, while Cloud has many advantages, there are some important disadvantages that business decision makers must navigate. Sometimes, the underlying disadvantages of Cloud can be overlooked and only become apparent when real…

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Recent Posts
  • The Coming Storms for Technology Users April 18, 2025
  • Who Owns and Controls What Technology? April 15, 2025
  • Why Drive Straight into a Traffic Jam? October 6, 2024
  • Can AI Do a Shakespeare or Only Lucky Hallucinations? September 27, 2024
  • Will CxOs have to navigate a re-run of 1848? September 8, 2024
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